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i dont know much about the case. but here's a theory that i'll throw out there:

tom called up his old friend tony from brunswick the night before mischief night. tom said he needed some good drugz for a big party they were planning. "hey tony, how's new york? hey listen we miss you. can you come up? jimmy's running low on weed. we're gonna have plenty of booze. hey can you bring some of that other sht? i would really appreciate it tony, your always welcome here at the skakels". tony took the train by himself. when tony got to belle haven, nobody wuz around. one of the parents told him he might want to try looking at the belle haven club. he went there but i'm not sure if he found the skakels or anyone. it started to get dark. he took beer from outdoor coolers. he passed the time away, waiting for tom or neal to get back, drinking beer and getting high. when parents drove or walked by, he hid in the bushes. to cure some of the boredom, he picked up a golf club and did some puts and pitches. at some point tony noticed martha walking through the neighboorhood. (tony really liked martha. he had a thing for her. he really liked her long beautiful blond hair. he had met her once at a gathering in town ... she was nice ... the type of girl who would "let you down gently"). he hid behind bushes, watching her every move. eventually martha left, and soon afterwards the skakels returned. tony tried to be low-key as he was not appreciated in this rich white neighboorhood and people knew he was up to no good (especially the parents). the police knew him for vandalizing street signs. eventually tony was able to catch tom skakel alone for a minute. they worked out their drug deal, and tom thanked tony.

why nobody other than tom claims to remember tony being there ... i dont know the answer to that. it probably had something to do with sunset being around five o'clock and the fact the it is dark at night and was cold that night and people were too bothered by the cold to remember every person they saw.

at some point tom introduced tony to ken. ken was new and felt awkward, and tony also felt akward being a black man in belle haven. so they had something in common (not to mention brunswick football) and talked in back of the house in the mead, while the rest of the skakel crowd gathered around the lincoln. it was dark and cold. tom put some moves on martha and she rebuffed. at some point later on, tom has a sexual encounter with martha, and tony and ken watch this secretly with disgust and jealousy. at that age, guys hate to see other guys succeeding with girls they like.

at some point tom and ken go inside, abandoning tony. they dont really want to bring tony inside the house. they are all trashed on alcohol and drugz. tony tries to go in, but they tell tony "thanks, it was a blast, we appreciated you coming up, but we need to go inside. we'll get together again soon ok?" tony feels let down, and is trashed so he isn't comfortable taking the train until he sobers up. "i wasn't comfortable being that out of control". instead of sobering up, he decides to get more and more drunk and more high. he's surrounded by endless supplies of beer and he had plenty of coke as well. he periodically walks closer to the road to watch the moxley house and he hopes to see martha come out. he really likes martha, he loves her beautiful blond hair. he decides he is going to be bold.

martha had run home to make her curfew. but she changes her mind, frustrated at her mother, and turns around. she goes back to the skakel house hoping to see tom again. tony is hiding in the bushes. tony comes out (after briefly having been seen by julie skakel through a window), and martha encounters tony bryant on the way back. tony, unfortunately, has taken an overdose of some very serious drugz including alcohol. he makes a move on martha and she rebuffs. martha screams "get away from me" or whatever words fred sibley heard. tony freaks out, worried martha will attract attention to a spaced-out tripping black man in belle haven. tony puts his hands around martha's mouth and tells her to shut up. she fights back, hurts tony, and tony's self-defense instincts take over because of his drunken drugged trashed state. he punches her. but he doesn't realize just how hard he hit her. he goes into a state of shock when he realized how badly he hurt martha. then, he realizes there is a dog barking furiously and he freaks out and starts running towards jeff's house where he hides in the crawl space underneath jeff's house.

tom and ken acutely heard something outside (being in a state of heightened awareness), but they were too paranoid about leaving the room with the TV. eventually ken agrees to go outside to check on the disturbance. ken encounters martha badly hurt. i don't know if he tried to help her, tried to take advantage of her, or was scared out of his mind and surprised by her. i don't know if ken is the one that used the club, or if it had been tony. perhaps ken drags her into a spot less well lit, or perhaps that was tony that dragged her initially.

anyway, ken eventually runs back to tell tom what happened. they find martha outside in very bad shape. but at the same time they have a BAC of .25 and if you include drugz it's like a BAC of .50. they are trashed out of their minds and tripping on acid and pot. instead of helping martha, they let her die. and carry her body into the darkness. they know all to well they will be "painted" as murder suspects if the body is discovered while they are still completely spaced out on drugs and booze.

around this time or later on, michael goes out and climbs a tree oblivous to what just happened.

god i hope martha lives on in heaven or in reincarnation, maybe unaware of her previous life. she certainly didnt deserve to be killed, and the killers must be brought to justice. please bring the killers to justice for martha's sake.